Prediction-market tricks from one site, checked on seven others
No figureLegal position unclear
On eight prediction-market sites, contracts priced at 95-99.9 cents fail about as often as the price implies. After fees there is little or nothing left. Information, not advice.
Kalshiplatform Kalshi is closed to Australian residents, so its data was used only as a comparison. Source: Kalshi's public terms and public market data
PredictItplatform PredictIt charges 5 percent on withdrawals, which is more than the gain on a near-certain contract. Source: PredictIt's public fee page
Matchbookplatform Matchbook showed 2,684 two-sided quotes at 95-99.9 cents closing within 30 days on the day it was read. Source: Matchbook's public market data
Betfairplatform Betfair's Australian exchange needs a login to read its prices. Source: Betfair's public site and developer documentation
The money
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How sure we are
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Released
The full story
How the money is made
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What it would take to try something similar
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How the money is made
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Chatbots on websites often stop working, and nobody notices
No figureLegal position unclear
Of 170 public chatbots checked, 94 no longer worked. Most were hobby projects, so whether local businesses would pay someone to keep their bots running is still an open question.
Voiceflowvendor Voiceflow returned a payment-required (402) response to every anonymous bot check by the end of the session, so those results were treated as throttling rather than bot death. Source: Voiceflow's public chat API responses during the check
Difyvendor Dify-built chatbots were among the public bots checked. Source: Public GitHub code search and each bot's own public chat interface
The money
no figure
How sure we are
No figure
Released
The full story
How the money is made
How we know
Where the number could be wrong
What it would take to try something similar
Legal notes in plain English
How the money is made
The full story is for subscribers. This placeholder is the same on every find and is not the real text.
How we know
The full story is for subscribers. This placeholder is the same on every find and is not the real text.
Where the number could be wrong
The full story is for subscribers. This placeholder is the same on every find and is not the real text.
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Eleven quiz apps that all send refunds through one billing desk
No figureGrey
One billing desk in the UAE runs a portfolio of quiz-to-subscription apps, several about health, all pointing to a shared refund page. What the portfolio earns is unknown.
The money
no figure
How sure we are
No figure
Released
The full story
How the money is made
How we know
Where the number could be wrong
What it would take to try something similar
Legal notes in plain English
How the money is made
The full story is for subscribers. This placeholder is the same on every find and is not the real text.
How we know
The full story is for subscribers. This placeholder is the same on every find and is not the real text.
Where the number could be wrong
The full story is for subscribers. This placeholder is the same on every find and is not the real text.
The full story is for subscribers
The blurred text is a placeholder, not the real thing.Subscribe
Research and education only, not advice. Every figure says how sure we are. Spotted a mistake? Tell us.